{"id":80050,"date":"2019-06-19T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2019-06-18T22:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/foraus.ch\/blog-post\/the-philippines-recently-held-elections-a-foreign-policy-perspective\/"},"modified":"2026-05-27T11:21:35","modified_gmt":"2026-05-27T09:21:35","slug":"the-philippines-recently-held-elections-a-foreign-policy-perspective","status":"publish","type":"blog-post","link":"https:\/\/foraus.ch\/en\/blog-post\/the-philippines-recently-held-elections-a-foreign-policy-perspective\/","title":{"rendered":"The Philippines recently held elections \u2013 A foreign policy perspective"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<strong>The recent general elections in the Philippines went widely unnoticed by Swiss media. However, a closer look on current political developments in the Philippines suggests to consider an enhanced foreign policy strategy by China, and how this affects the politics in surrounding countries. <\/strong>\n\n<!--more-->\n\nOn May 13, the Philippines held general elections. As most midterms, these elections were generally seen as a referendum on President Rodrigo Duterte\u2019s administration and policies since 2016. There were several controversial issues to vote on: Duterte\u2019s \u201cWar on Drugs\u201d and his foreign policy pivot to China being two of the biggest issues. The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/world\/2018\/dec\/19\/dutertes-philippines-drug-war-death-toll-rises-above-5000\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">number<\/a> of \u201cextrajudicially killed\u201d Filipinos is estimated to be least 5\u2019000 (official number by the Philippine Drug Enforcement Agency) but could as well approach 27\u2019000 by now (estimates by human rights groups). Duterte\u2019s cozying up to China was not well received by the majority of the public: a September 2018 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.sws.org.ph\/swsmain\/artcldisppage\/?artcsyscode=ART-20181119235355\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">survey<\/a> showed an 84% disapproval rate of the government\u2019s inaction over China\u2019s increasing presence in the South China Sea. For example, the Duterte administration never capitalized on the former administration\u2019s victory in the <a href=\"https:\/\/pca-cpa.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/6\/2016\/07\/PH-CN-20160712-Award.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">Permanent Court of Arbitration ruling<\/a>, which favored the Philippines\u2019 claim in the South China Sea and deemed China\u2019s creation of artificial islands as inconsistent with the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS).\n\nThe May 13 elections were <a href=\"https:\/\/preen.inquirer.net\/95868\/all-the-shady-things-that-happened-during-our-2019-midterm-elections\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">riddled<\/a> with strange behaviors of voting machines and hints of irregularities, but ultimately resulted in a sweeping victory of Duterte-backed candidates and parties. The elections not only resulted in the daughter of former dictator Ferdinand Marcos, Imee Marcos, and daughter of Rodrigo Duterte, Sara Duterte, taking seats in the Senate, but they also made Duterte\u2019s Philippine Democratic Party (PDP-Laban) the most powerful party in the house of representatives by winning more than one third of all seats. This is remarkable for a political party that was <a href=\"https:\/\/fr.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Partido_Demokratiko_Pilipino-Lakas_ng_Bayan\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">a negligible political force<\/a> throughout the 1990s and 2000s and <a href=\"https:\/\/newsinfo.inquirer.net\/787547\/from-3-to-300-pdp-laban-forms-supermajority-in-house\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">only gained traction<\/a> in the wake of Duterte\u2019s presidency.\n\n<strong>A new era of foreign interventionism<\/strong>\n\nTo understand the current situation, it is insightful to look back on what happened over the past few years. In the run-up to the presidential elections in May 2016, it was long speculated whether Rodrigo Duterte, then mayor of Davao, would run for president. On social media, however, a subtle campaign to promote Duterte\u2019s name and his alleged achievements in his home city was well under way. Duterte\u2019s social media campaign manager <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rappler.com\/nation\/199866-cambridge-analytica-facebook-data-scandal-duterte-interfere-elections-scl\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">met Cambridge Analytica<\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/www.rappler.com\/nation\/199866-cambridge-analytica-facebook-data-scandal-duterte-interfere-elections-scl\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">\u2019s<\/a> Alexander Nix in 2015. In January 2016, the Duterte campaign also received training in social media advertisements from <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/features\/2017-12-07\/how-rodrigo-duterte-turned-facebook-into-a-weapon-with-a-little-help-from-facebook\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">Facebook itself<\/a>.\n\nAfter entering the presidential race relatively late, Duterte <a href=\"https:\/\/www.philstar.com\/headlines\/2016\/03\/10\/1561872\/duterte-says-unknown-donor-paid-his-pre-campaign-ads\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">mentioned<\/a> that his initial campaign financing came from unidentified Chinese donors. The connection between PDP-Laban and the Communist Party of China (CPC) presumably goes back to the year 2010, when <a href=\"https:\/\/www.slideshare.net\/totoygolarge\/poverty-alleviation-and-the-pdp-laban-v3\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">PDP-Laban attended<\/a> the International Conference of Asian Political Parties hosted by the CPC in Kunming, China. Since then, PDP-Laban leaders vowed to learn from the CPC and <a href=\"https:\/\/globalnation.inquirer.net\/158865\/pdp-laban-learn-ideology-communist-party-china\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">entered into an agreement<\/a> to undergo \u201cpolicy training\u201d in CPC party schools on the mainland.\n\nBeijing\u2019s motivation for an enhanced engagement in the Philippines is obvious: the nation is not only home to 100 million people, with <a href=\"https:\/\/www.rappler.com\/thought-leaders\/79452-hope-philippine-youth\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">favorable demographics<\/a>, but also <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/roomfordebate\/2016\/10\/18\/can-the-us-philippine-alliance-survive-duterte\/the-us-needs-the-philippines-for-its-strategic-location\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">geostrategically important<\/a>. The one who controls the Philippines has strategic clout not only over the highly disputed South China Sea, but also on the vast maritime area between the shores of Vietnam to America\u2019s Pacific Island of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pacom.mil\/Media\/News\/Article\/564502\/guam-is-strategic-hub-to-asia-pacific-rebalance\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">Guam<\/a>. Duterte was, among all the Philippine presidential hopefuls in 2016, best suited to advance China\u2019s foreign policy interest in the region. No other candidate had a similar track record of disregard for human rights, personified strong man ideologization and anti-Americanism as the <a href=\"https:\/\/newsinfo.inquirer.net\/779984\/duterte-im-a-socialist-not-a-communist-last-card\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">self-described socialist<\/a>. It is not that Beijing would do anything extraordinary, rather, its recent financial and organizational backing of China-friendly candidates and parties in the Philippines could as well come straight out of the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/news\/worldviews\/wp\/2016\/10\/13\/the-long-history-of-the-u-s-interfering-with-elections-elsewhere\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">United States\u2019 foreign interference<\/a> playbook. Nevertheless, the case of the current Philippines is remarkable, as the former American colony used to be a traditional US ally with a <a href=\"http:\/\/avalon.law.yale.edu\/20th_century\/phil001.asp\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">mutual defense treaty<\/a> and a long history of American military bases. This development from being a clear US ally, to a popular Philippine head of state who travels to Beijing to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/article\/us-china-philippines\/duterte-aligns-philippines-with-china-says-u-s-has-lost-idUSKCN12K0AS\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">proclaim<\/a> \u201cseparation from America\u201d and \u201calignment with the CPC\u2019s ideological flow\u201d, is rather unusual. The recent elections demonstrated that Duterte\u2019s and PDP-Laban\u2019s overtures to China would not take any political toll.\n\nSince the end of World War II, Swiss diplomats became used to cope with countries that were undoubtedly <a href=\"https:\/\/academic.oup.com\/isq\/article\/60\/2\/189\/1750842\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">influenced<\/a> by America\u2019s and Russia\u2019s foreign policy engagement. While Russian efforts to influence elections is currently a widely discussed issue in Western media, the possibility that China might be increasingly engaged in similar activities is less considered. It might be time to change this.\n<div class=\"fo-blog__detail__content__content\">\n<div class=\"fo-row\">\n<div class=\"fo-blog__content-html\">\n\n<strong>Image: <\/strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.pexels.com\/photo\/rodrigo-duterte-on-stage-1394506\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener nofollow\">Pexels<\/a>\n\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"featured_media":0,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":false},"archive-status":[],"region":[1851],"custom-themes":[],"class_list":["post-80050","blog-post","type-blog-post","status-publish","hentry","region-asien-pazifik"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/foraus.ch\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/blog-post\/80050","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/foraus.ch\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/blog-post"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/foraus.ch\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/blog-post"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/foraus.ch\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=80050"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"archive-status","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/foraus.ch\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/archive-status?post=80050"},{"taxonomy":"region","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/foraus.ch\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/region?post=80050"},{"taxonomy":"custom-themes","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/foraus.ch\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/custom-themes?post=80050"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}