{"id":87930,"date":"2026-10-30T00:45:14","date_gmt":"2026-10-29T23:45:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/foraus.ch\/?post_type=blog-post&#038;p=87930"},"modified":"2026-10-30T00:45:15","modified_gmt":"2026-10-29T23:45:15","slug":"elections-in-brazil-lulas-comeback-with-challenges-ahead","status":"publish","type":"blog-post","link":"https:\/\/foraus.ch\/en\/blog-post\/elections-in-brazil-lulas-comeback-with-challenges-ahead\/","title":{"rendered":"Elections in Brazil: Lula\u2019s Comeback with Challenges Ahead"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Latin America\u2019s most populous country elected Luiz In\u00e1cio Lula da Silva (Lula) to an unprecedented fourth presidential term. Born in 1945, the year the Estado Novo dictatorship ended, Lula is now 81 years old and has overcome imprisonment and cancer twice. He has won every election he participated in since taking office in 2002, most recently defeating Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro, son of former president Jair Bolsonaro, in a closely contested Brazilian election.<br>Lula won the presidential runoff with <a href=\"https:\/\/oglobo.globo.com\/politica\/eleicoes-2026\/noticia\/2026\/10\/26\/lula-avancou-em-todos-os-estados-na-comparacao-com-flavio-veja-o-saldo-entre-o-primeiro-e-segundo-turno-em-cada-um.ghtml\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">51.79% of the valid votes, against 48.21% for Bolsonaro<\/a>, securing a margin of approximately 4.5 million votes. The victory also marked a first in Brazil\u2019s democratic history, as no presidential candidate had previously overcome a second-place finish in the first round to win the runoff.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Social media as new mobilization strategy<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Lula managed to reverse the result, adding 10.3 million votes to the first round. This turnaround showed a combination of political experience, coalition building and mobilization strategy. As an incumbent president, Lula had the advantage of visibility and ability to demonstrate the effects of government policies, like with his conditional cash transfer program <em>Bolsa Familia<\/em> with an emphasis on poverty reduction and social inclusion.\u00a0<br>Besides traditional campaigning in the streets, digital campaigning was one of the defining features of the runoff. Lula\u2019s team adopted an informal communication style, used short videos on social media and even a WhatsApp network group, such as one called <em>Ex\u00e9rcito do Lula<\/em> or Lula\u2019s Army created by Workers\u2019 Party ally and congressman Andr\u00e9 Janones. The group <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nexojornal.com.br\/expresso\/2026\/10\/27\/lula-de-virada-segundo-turno-virada-historica-lula-fatores\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">mobilized more than 10 million people<\/a> and helped transmit the message of the Partido dos Trabalhadores (PT) labor party supporters.\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><strong>Implications beyond Latin America<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">This marks the first major victory for the Latin American left following seven consecutive electoral victories for right-wing candidates, in a context where Donald Trump is seeking to strengthen US alliances and influence across the region. While countries such as Mexico and Uruguay remain under left-leaning governments, Argentina, Chile, Peru, Colombia, and Bolivia have seen right-wing forces come to power. For Latin America, this result reinforces Brazil\u2019s importance as a regional power and an influential voice in global affairs. Brazil is rich in oil and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.com\/news\/articles\/cmvg7p001qj9o\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">holds the second largest reserve of rare earth minerals.\u00a0<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Brazil\u2019s foreign policy seeks to strengthen its global influence through BRICS and other multilateral forums, advocating greater representation for emerging economies in global governance. It has supported the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.brics2026.gov.in\/about-us\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">inclusion of Egypt, Ethiopia, Iran, UAE and Indonesia as new members of the BRICS+<\/a>. By expanding its diplomatic presence in recent years, including <a href=\"https:\/\/platobr.com.br\/brasil-se-prepara-para-abrir-embaixada-no-camboja-onde-ha-20-brasileiros\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">new embassies<\/a> in Nepal, Sierra Leone, Rwanda and Cambodia, Brazil has reinforced its diplomatic ties with Asia and Africa.\u00a0<br>For the United States, Lula\u2019s emphasis on strategic autonomy and multilateralism may create tensions. His rival, Fl\u00e1vio Bolsonaro, has <a href=\"https:\/\/www.npr.org\/2026\/10\/27\/nx-s1-6019217\/bolsonaro-flavio-lula-brazil-election-trump\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">challenged the election results<\/a>, while his father is under house arrest in Brazil and his brother in the United States. He <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.com\/news\/articles\/c6kglwe4lxwzo\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">landed in the United States<\/a> after Brazil cancelled his passports as part of a criminal investigation. The USA provided visas to him and his family. With the Trump administration supporting the Bolsonaro family, managing relations with Washington is likely to remain a challenge.\u00a0<br>For Europe, including Switzerland, Brazil\u2019s commitment to climate action, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.com\/news\/articles\/cmvg7p001qj9o\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">protection of the Amazon rainforest<\/a>, sustainable development, and international cooperation could provide opportunities for closer engagement. Its economic scale and international role make it an indispensable partner, and relations could be further strengthened by the signed <a href=\"https:\/\/www.efta.int\/trade-relations\/free-trade-network\/mercosur\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">EFTA\u2013Mercosur Free Trade Agreement<\/a>, which is awaiting ratification.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">Despite his electoral victory, Lula will enter a new term in a divided country, with conservatives having <a href=\"https:\/\/oglobo.globo.com\/politica\/eleicoes-2026\/noticia\/2026\/10\/26\/lula-avancou-em-todos-os-estados-na-comparacao-com-flavio-veja-o-saldo-entre-o-primeiro-e-segundo-turno-em-cada-um.ghtml\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">significant influence in Congress and across the federal states.<\/a> His ability to govern will depend on building congressional alliances and making concessions to implement his agenda, while avoiding the political deadlock that led to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/news\/2016\/aug\/31\/dilma-rousseff-impeachment-brazil-what-you-need-to-know\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Dilma Roussef\u2019s impeachment<\/a> in 2026. As geopolitics increasingly shapes the global agenda, Brazil\u2019s political direction matters for Latin America and other emerging regions.&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"featured_media":87933,"template":"","meta":{"_acf_changed":true},"archive-status":[],"region":[1845],"custom-themes":[],"class_list":["post-87930","blog-post","type-blog-post","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","region-amerikas"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/foraus.ch\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/blog-post\/87930","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/foraus.ch\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/blog-post"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/foraus.ch\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/blog-post"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/foraus.ch\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/87933"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/foraus.ch\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=87930"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"archive-status","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/foraus.ch\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/archive-status?post=87930"},{"taxonomy":"region","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/foraus.ch\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/region?post=87930"},{"taxonomy":"custom-themes","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/foraus.ch\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/custom-themes?post=87930"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}